Wednesday, August 19, 2026

GUEST POST BY DAVE MILLER

 Count me as stunned.

I survived the debacle of the Vietnam War. I celebrated when the United States liberated Kuwait and was disappointed when we failed to protect the Kurds from Iraqi helicopter attacks.

I was all in for attacking Taliban bases in Afghanistan after 9/11 but totally opposed to an all-out invasion of Iraq.

None of that prepared me for what the current POTUS is doing with Iran.

Simply put, President Trump is presiding over military success after military success while, at the same time, managing to lose the war he started against a country his administration repeatedly told us had been militarily devastated.

And that's what makes all this so stunning.

Because military success is not the same thing as winning a war.

Last year, President Trump claimed Iran's nuclear capability had been totally “obliterated.” This year he claimed Iran's military had been decimated. He repeatedly told us the Iranians desperately wanted a deal with the United States.

Yet the war rages on.

At the outset of the conflict, Trump and his administration outlined sweeping objectives:

Eliminate Iran's missile threat.

Eliminate its nuclear threat.

Destroy its ability to project military power.

End the threat from its regional proxies.

Regime change in Iran


Then Trump added one more.

On March 6, he declared there would be no deal with Iran except:

“UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER.”

Iran's military has certainly been battered. Its leadership has been hit. Ships, missile launchers, military installations and infrastructure have been destroyed.

Those are significant military accomplishments.

But destroying targets is not the same thing as achieving the objectives of a war.

I'm reminded of an exchange U.S. Army Col. Harry Summers said he had with a North Vietnamese colonel in Hanoi at the end of the Vietnam War.

“You know you never defeated us on the battlefield,” Summers told him. The North Vietnamese officer replied:

“That may be so, but it is also irrelevant.”

That's a lesson we seem to have forgotten.

You can win battles and still lose a war.

And by the objectives President Trump himself established for this war:

Not one has been achieved.

Not one.

Iran still has missiles.

The nuclear question remains unresolved.

The Islamic Republic is still in power.

Iran still possesses the ability to destabilize the region.


And most remarkably, five months after President Trump demanded Iran's unconditional surrender, Iran has presented demands of its own to the United States.

Think about that for a moment.

Iran has demanded an end to American military operations, sanctions relief, compensation for war damages, the release of frozen assets, American withdrawal from the region and other concessions as part of negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

I can hear the echoes of conservative commentators had this happened during a Biden or Obama administration.

“How dare they,” we'd hear.

“We're the United States, the greatest military power on the planet.”

“No one dictates terms to America.”

But here we are.

And there is something even more troubling.

By absorbing some of the best shots the United States can deliver and remaining on its feet, it can be argued that Iran's stature in parts of the world has increased.

For decades, Iranian leaders have called America the “Great Satan” while portraying us as a paper tiger… an enormously powerful nation that ultimately lacks the ability to translate overwhelming military power into political results.

We should be deeply concerned when our own actions begin helping our enemies make their case.

Take a moment and let that sink in.

This isn't the presidency of Bill Clinton, Barack Obama or Joe Biden.

This is Donald Trump.

A Republican.

A Make America Great Again guy.

An America First guy.

A president whose entire foreign-policy persona has been built around strength, winning and the idea that other nations would once again fear American power.

Yet the nation he demanded unconditionally surrender is still fighting, still standing and has now presented conditions to us.

And that brings me to what really worries me.

History gives us some frightening examples of what can happen when leaders realize they are losing control.

By March 1945, Adolf Hitler knew Germany was facing catastrophe. Allied armies were advancing from the west while Soviet forces closed in from the east.

His response?

The Nero Decree.

Hitler ordered Germany's transportation systems, communications networks, industrial facilities and infrastructure destroyed rather than allow them to fall intact into Allied hands.

Think about that.

30 comments:

  1. Simply put, American arrogance (as well as ignorance) blinds it to reality.

    This nation has not won a war since the conclusion of WW II. Yet we persist.

    Why? Because the MIC capitalists of death and destruction need their continual fix of war to maintain their capital accumulation.

    As people die and the Empire spirals in decline seeking eventual collapse.

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  2. No one wins wars especially in the middle east. We defeated Japan and Germany then paid for them to rebuild. We spent billions of dollars a and many years in the battle with Afghanistan then ran away and gave them billions in weapons to arm them for the future. Vietnam was a disaster who now sells us our shirts and is thriving.

    The peace deal one day and bomb them the next day isn't working. The ego king needs to declare victory and leave.

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  3. The more I meditate on conditions existing in the here and now present moments Dave, the more I realize the present conditions are the natural, unimpeded results of all our past decisions and actions.

    Also, the present political tensions that exist both internal to this nation as well as globally is the result of constant media and political manipulation of facts and truth.

    Political, economic, and religous manipulation aimed at achieving control over others in order to gain and maintain power.

    As history has shown time and again it is ultimately a fools errand destined for eventual failure.

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  4. I like the fact that you're completely in the dark, M.

    I was totally opposed to a war of choice at this time. But now that we're in it, I also see the best way out. And no, it's not conceding to Iranian demands. And it's not a total war with Iran. It's a very "Ukrainan-Russian" thing. Seize the territories that are of strategic importance to us. In this case, the "Eastern" / coastal regions and the Straits of Hormuz.

    You're right, war is not military victory. It's imposing your will upon a people, against their will ("Art of War", Clauswitz).

    So no, we're not doing "regime change". We're doing "nation building". A new nation. Balochistan. It doesn't solve the problem. It creates new ones. But it is what it is. And we'll have lots of Sunni allies.

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    Replies
    1. We have NO right to seize territories that do not belong to us and never have simply because WE deem them strategically important to us. That us colonialism, it was wrong in the past and it remains wrong today. Period. Full Stop.

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    2. Grow the 'ef up, Les. America and Europe are being colonized as we speak.

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    3. You're a hateful frightened whittle person minus man. IOW you're part of the problem that has resulted in the realities of today's world.
      .
      So, you wake the 'eff up minus man.

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    4. Seize the territories that are of strategic importance to us. In this case, the "Eastern" / coastal regions and the Straits of Hormuz.

      FJ, You got some kids you can send to occupy those territories? There are already US bases being attacked in Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, UAE and Jordan.

      What could go wrong?

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    5. lol! Colonization is the solution to forever wars, not the problem.

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    6. If anyone thinks occupying part of Iran will end wars, they really need to pull their heads out of Trump's ass. How many times will these fools keep drinking the neo-con koolade?
      The Criminal President Trump is threatening and bombing more countries than any other president.
      How did the British colonization of America work out for Britain?
      And when has America NOT been at war? Dominance by occupation and peace are incompatible.
      How'd that colonization work out in Vietnam?
      How's the Zionist colonization of Palestine workin' out?
      I mean, besides endless war, occupations, invasions, land confiscation, and killing uncounted thousands of innocent human beings?
      And of course the real cost to the average American household in gas and commodity prices for NO RETURN on investment.
      Perhaps Israel has colonized the US?

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    7. FJ and Thirsty. Answer the question. Got any fighting age children, nieces or nephews, friends or neighbors you could convince to enlist and occupy the Strait or Kharg Island? Or just some other saps kids?

      lol! Colonization is the solution to forever wars, not the problem.

      Examples, please.

      Grow the 'ef up, Les. America and Europe are being colonized as we speak
      By whom.

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    8. Occupying isn't colonization. Our military occupies (ala Vietnam/ Afghanistan), and then leaves/ abandons. Colonists stay, settle, intermarry, and raise families. It puts in permanent "skin in the game". Colonists are homeowners. Occupiers are renters.

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    9. Give my kids some oil wells in Iran, and they'd gladly go colonize it. Sir William Johnson didn't come to America to occupy some royal position as Indian Agent for the Crown. He came to start a dynasty. And he succeeded.

      Delete
  5. This should have been included also as part of the original post...

    Japan followed another path.

    As American forces moved steadily toward the Japanese home islands and Japanese leaders recognized they could no longer defeat the United States conventionally, they increasingly embraced desperate tactics.

    Thousands of young men were sent on one-way kamikaze missions against American ships.

    And in the final months of the war, Japan developed something even more horrifying: Operation Cherry Blossoms at Night.

    The plan called for Japanese submarines to approach the American coast and launch aircraft carrying plague-infected fleas against cities in Southern California.

    It was biological warfare aimed at American civilians.

    The attack was scheduled for September 1945.

    Japan surrendered before it could be carried out.

    And then there was Saddam Hussein.

    As American and coalition forces overwhelmed Iraq during the first Gulf War, Saddam began firing SCUD missiles at Israel.

    Israel wasn't even part of the coalition attacking Iraq.

    That was the point.

    Saddam desperately wanted Israel to retaliate, believing an Israeli entry into the war might fracture the coalition and drive Arab nations away from the United States.

    Three very different leaders.

    Three very different wars.

    But one unsettling lesson.

    Leaders who believe they are losing control do not necessarily become more cautious.

    Sometimes they become more dangerous.

    Which brings me to what worries me today.

    What happens if President Trump concludes that the world is beginning to see this war not as the overwhelming American victory he promised, but as a strategic failure?

    What happens when the president who demanded unconditional surrender is confronted with an Iran that not only refuses to surrender, but has begun dictating its own conditions for peace?

    Does he accept reality and negotiate?

    Does he declare victory and walk away?

    Or does he reach for something dramatically more destructive in an effort to prove that the United States—and Donald Trump—cannot be humiliated?

    That's the question worrying me today.

    Because America still possesses overwhelming military power.

    And history reminds us of something we would be foolish to forget:

    Sometimes the most dangerous moment in a war isn't when a powerful leader believes he is winning.

    It's when he realizes he isn't.

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  6. trump is too stupid to realize he has lost the war. He is too enamored of the misplaced belief in his own (fake) greatness. He is incapable of assessing reality as it is. He has no advisors telling him the truth, having loaded his regime with syncophathic yes men and women. Making him a very dangerous "man".

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  7. -FJ... a very simple question.

    About what am I "completely in the dark" about?

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    Replies
    1. Don't expect an honest cogent response anon@ 12:08 PM.

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    2. Your correct. The next American revolution hasn't yet begun. And when it does it will have the flavor of the 1917 Russian Revolution.

      This nation is the most unequal developed nation in the world right now and getting worse daily under the moron presnit.

      We're I alive when it happens I would be welcoming it.

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  8. I have no idea how I got signed out of Google... both of the above Anons are from me...

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  9. Les, The United States has always seized territory and if they didn't there would be no United States. We took from the Native Americans, we took from the British, we took from Mexico. Idealistic as you are in some things naivety prevails. BTW, Israel is a seized land but so is Massachusetts.

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    Replies
    1. It is abundantly clear skud you, along with almost EVERY conservative I know, chooses to be ignorant of the TRUTH that this nation is NOW experiencing the results of its past and present actions. Both at home and globally.

      I really feel for those who will have to experience what is coming to the nation. What we are experiencing today is peanuts compared to what's coming. And it won't be what ignorant conservatism thinks it will be.

      To correct ant problem you first must understand what caused it in the first place. Something conservatives, especially MAGA "conservatives" are either unwilling or incapable of understanding.

      Delete
  10. ”SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — North Korea launched a barrage of ballistic missiles toward the sea on Thursday, South Korea's military said, a day after the North shrugged off a U.S. decision to scale back military drills with South Korea in an apparent bid to resume diplomacy.

    The Joint Chiefs of Staff said the launches of about 10 short-range ballistic missiles happened from North Korea’s capital region around 5 p.m. (0800 GMT) on Thursday. The military said the missiles flew about 300 kilometers (185 miles) each toward North Korea’s eastern waters.”
    —AP

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    Replies
    1. Kim doesn't want the 7th fleet to leave the Pacific for the ME...

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  11. "TRUTH that this nation is NOW experiencing the results of its past and present actions."

    Les, I couldn't agree with you more. Giving a sworn enemy billions to develop nuclear weapons, donating billions of dollars worth of weapons to a sworn enemy, opening the border to all creating chaos and then running a person unqualified to be president resulting in a person unqualified to be president winning. Yes people don't want to acknowledge the potential destruction a party's decisions can make.

    Fortunately one party has decided to change the face of the nation forever and adopt socialism as their platform. I am all for someone else paying for my stuff because I have been paying for theirs for decades.

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    Replies
    1. Skud, the reason people get upset and even angry with your comments is because you’ve just put the failure of this entire country because of Democrats and their policies, with the exception of admitting that Trump was not qualified to be the president,. But you even blame that on the fact that the Democrats ran a perfectly qualified woman to be president in 2024. How can we take you seriously when you make exaggerated and many untrue statements as you did in the above comment?

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    2. Skud is irredeemable.

      He's consumed so much of the radical Right's koolade he will join Trump in accusing Democrats of being communists.

      Harry Truman had Skud pegged:

      "Socialism is a scare word they have hurled at every advance the people have made in the last 20 years.

      Socialism is what they called public power. Socialism is what they called social security.

      Socialism is what they called farm price supports.

      Socialism is what they called bank deposit insurance.

      Socialism is what they called the growth of free and independent labor organizations.

      Socialism is their name for almost anything that helps all the people."


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    3. Socialism is the future of America. As the obscene economic inequality in this nation increases, and it certainly is going to, there will likely be another revolution. Along the lines of the 1917 Russian Revolution, skud.

      Sorry you're ignorant of that very real likelihood.

      Delete
  12. Shaw, skud is MAGAt in every way. He simply skirts thr truth of his fascist beliefs by saying trump is unqualified to be president while supporting trump's fascist MAGA agenda.

    skud is not a serious or studied person..He simply accepts the conservative media BS and fly's with it.

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