tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1883838569462983439.post3977265117638078777..comments2024-03-29T06:56:06.476-04:00Comments on Progressive Eruptions: Florida: 28% of Registered Republicans Have Voted For Hillary Clinton In Early VotingShaw Kenawehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08637273000409613497noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1883838569462983439.post-53172127285938091152016-11-02T17:18:51.550-04:002016-11-02T17:18:51.550-04:00As many know, statistician Nate Silver has a truly...<b>As many know, statistician Nate Silver has a truly winning track record, predicting the 2008 and 2012 presidential races correctly down to the state level, with only one error. FiveThirtyEight offers three different forecast models: NCRM believes the Polls-plus model makes the most sense, compared to the Polls-only model and the Now-cast model.<br /><br />Right now, the Polls-plus forecast gives Hillary Clinton an 82.6% chance of winning the presidential race – its highest to date – and Donald Trump a 17.4% chance.<br /><br />The Polls-only forecast, which does not take into account other factors, such as the economy, gives Clinton an even better chance: 86.4%, close to her highest-ever in that model, which was 89.2%.<br /><br />And the Now-cast forecast, which predicts who would win were the election held today, gives Clinton even better odds: 90.1%. The highest ever for that model was 96.4%.</b><br /><br />Nate Silvernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1883838569462983439.post-76917131076041498942016-11-02T16:43:26.305-04:002016-11-02T16:43:26.305-04:00I tend not to respect people who tell women who ha...I tend not to respect people who tell women who have been sexually battered to "get over it", assault their fellow Americans, and refuse to operate in reality. I am under no requirement to respect someone's demented beliefs. That would be political correct and wrong.So I don't respect Trump supporters.Monica A.noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1883838569462983439.post-81639972420728450442016-11-02T15:46:06.511-04:002016-11-02T15:46:06.511-04:00Infidel753. Even Republican past presidents are ru...Infidel753. Even Republican past presidents are running as far from Trumper as they can. Besides the under-educated white men, there aren't many deplorables left to vote for him.<br /><br />The under-educated Trump supporters have been infesting my comment moderation for the past week. They are pooping green bricks because Hillary will be their next president, and they have no clue how it all happened. They can't see beyond their noses what the rest of the country and the world sees: An sexually depraved idiot, full of sound and fury but signifying nothing.Shaw Kenawehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08637273000409613497noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1883838569462983439.post-13882318294487573782016-11-02T15:40:22.947-04:002016-11-02T15:40:22.947-04:00skud is particularly whiney today. skud is particularly whiney today. Shaw Kenawehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08637273000409613497noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1883838569462983439.post-77281480341371767622016-11-02T14:28:20.701-04:002016-11-02T14:28:20.701-04:00-H> is going to win unless democrats are so dis...-H> is going to win unless democrats are so disgusted they stay home. What is the chance we can have two presidents from the same family be impeached. That would be another firsts for Democrats.<br />She will start off in a cloud that may last two years or ore if the republicans hold congress. Maybe she can raise obamacare rates another 60% and tax corporations into leaving. That last one won't happen because it is not in the best interest of clinton Incskudrunnerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07610092853412481236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1883838569462983439.post-2423760508833654642016-11-02T08:48:33.040-04:002016-11-02T08:48:33.040-04:0028% of Republicans are sane enough to not want to ...28% of Republicans are sane enough to not want to give a belligerent thug control of 7,200 nuclear weapons? Who'd have thought it?<br /><br />If that's accurate, it would bear out one suspicion I've had for a while -- that even among a lot of people who say they're voting for Trump, when it gets right down to it and they're ready to vote, they'll think of the implications and just won't be able to do it. That would lead to some pretty massive surprises when all the votes are counted.<br /><br />Let's hope it's true.Infidel753https://www.blogger.com/profile/10965786814334886696noreply@blogger.com