Paul Revere by Cyrus Dallin, North End, Boston

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Saturday, September 3, 2016

Saturday Night Dancing

But first, some excellent news from the election blog, FiveThirtyEight:



Donald Trump has upended much of what we thought we knew about U.S. electoral politics. Maybe Republican voters aren’t as conservative as we thought. Maybe candidates can make seemingly crazy statements without harming their prospects. Those were both lessons we learned from the Republican primaries. But the general election has gone more according to script, and Trump hasn’t upended that most basic feature of general elections, the map. 

 As politics has become more polarized, the electoral map has changed very little from election to election. But because Trump is such an unusual candidate, it seemed possible there would be states in play this year that usually aren’t. 

Trump himself said he would compete in deep-blue states like California, New York, Oregon and Washington. So far, however, the 2016 map looks a lot like the 2012 map. Some reliably red and blue states are a tad more competitive this year, relative to the country overall, than in recent elections, but Trump has not reshaped the political landscape. And with Clinton leading Trump nationally by about 7 percentage points, the typically uncompetitive states that seem most likely to flip are red, not blue.



And now, after that happy news, some happy dancing:




16 comments:

Rational Nation USA said...

Now THAT's how to cut a rug!

Dave Miller said...

This is what it comes down to for the GOP, both in the election and beyond. What states will they be able to turn as the country continues to drift away from their POV?

Maybe they can ultimately win a few of the battleground states, but places like Texas are trending towards the Dems.

Unless and until the GOP learns not to insult entire people groups, while trying to get their votes, they will continue to diminish as a national party.

And now, let's swing!

Shaw Kenawe said...

RN and Dave, wasn't that phenomenal?

Dave Miller said...

Yes it was!!

Dave Miller said...

From the movie "Hellzapoppin".

Ahab said...

I love these old time dancing videos. People back in the day knew how to move!

Shaw Kenawe said...

Black Pastor for Trump, Burns, is a liar just like the maniac he supports:

When asked if Burns made the claim that he graduated from North Greenville University, he became defensive and stated that he thought he was being interviewed for a profile that was supposed to be off the record. He then accused Blackwell of trying to ruin his character and said that this was not fair.

"The Trump campaign has not responded, but Pastor Burns released a statement saying that the reason why he “overstated some details” about his education and military experience was because he was just starting his new church in Greenville, South Carolina and wanted to be taken seriously.

‘This was wrong, I wasn’t truthful then and I have to take full responsibility of my actions. Since that time I should have taken steps to correct any misrepresentations of my background. We all make mistakes, and I hope that the measure of my character and the quality of my works speaks for what kind of person I am.’


Joan of Manhattan said...

"Black Pastor for Trump, Burns, is a liar just like the maniac he supports
You are a pisser, any one who is against your choice seems to always be a "Liar". Could it be possible that Hillary is the LIAR, like the rest of the world thinks?

Conspiracy Theories Aren't Facts said...

This is an example of the amount of shit the crazies on the far right have lost since Hillary became a candidaate for the presidency --and now even is looking like she's gonna beat their guy Trump:

A rightwing imbecile: Hillary is the most unworthy untrusted, disliked, distrusted , disingenuous liar and harridan that was ever put on this earth. She belongs in history beside Stalin, Mao.

Hillary belongs nexty to Stalin and Mao who combined are responsible for over 100 million deaths of mostly their fellow countrymen.

To these mentally unstable folks on the right, Hillary is just like them.

And when Hillary is elected president how will these geniuses going to explain that America elected a woman who is responsible for killing 100 million of her fellow Americans? I mean how will they get the people in the asylum to listen to them?

Shaw Kenawe said...

Joan of Manhattan said...
"Black Pastor for Trump, Burns, is a liar just like the maniac he supports
You are a pisser, any one who is against your choice seems to always be a "Liar". Could it be possible that Hillary is the LIAR, like the rest of the world thinks?

Joan of Manhattan,

The correct spelling here in Bahstin is "pissah," not "pisser." That's first.

Second, to answer your last question -- No.

It is indisputable that Donald J. Trump is the champion liar of this presidential cycle.

But, IMO, Trump isn't really a liar, because to be a good liar, you actually have to have some knowledge of the subject you're lying about, and Trump has shown us throughout his repulsive campaign that he knows next to nothing about domestic and foreign issues, so we classify Trump as a plain, old, ordinary, bullshitter. Just like the drunk guy at 2 AM at the bar telling everyone about how many women he's had and how rich he is. That's Trump. And people like "Joanie of Manhattan" love the taste of that bullshit.

Shaw Kenawe said...

CTAF,

The far right has clearly gone 'round the bend, as they say, ever since they realized that The Maniac is going to lose to Hillary, BIGLY. That bit of hyperbole from them is just a symptom of how panicked they are. They're chewing off their tails over it.

Joan of Manhattan said...

My Darling Shaw you have just did discribed Hillary Clinton perfectly. And by the way I really don't give a hoot how you spell things there in Boston. I wouldn't be caught dead there in the first place.

Bluebull said...

The righties are NOT conservative. They've proven that by backing the lying con-artist Trump. At this point, the right isn't even sane!

Shaw Kenawe said...

Joan of Manhattan said...
"My Darling Shaw you have just did discribed Hillary Clinton perfectly. And by the way I really don't give a hoot how you spell things there in Boston. I wouldn't be caught dead there in the first place."

"Joanie," we know that, because:


Massachusetts is the smartest state

So, of course, you wouldn't want to be here, dead or alive!



Shaw Kenawe said...



The conservative site RedState.com:

But the current polling is so bad, as Donald Trump trails Hillary Clinton, that the toss-up states don’t even matter anymore. Excluding the toss-up states, RCP has Clinton up 272-174, which means Trump could run the table of NV, AZ, IA, MO, OH, GA, NC, FL and he still loses 272-266.

ORIGINAL Anonymous Reader of TeaPublican Blogs said...

James Dobson wrote: "I do believe that God has had a hand in America’s history. I hope and pray that He will also have a saving hand in America’s future."

Barack Hussein Obama was elected twice by a healthy majority. God is Good. We thank Him for having a positive hand in America's history.