Paul Revere by Cyrus Dallin, North End, Boston

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Thursday, October 27, 2016

Newest AP-GfK Poll Released

(Still busy with our French visitors.  Light posting.)





More good news for us anti-Trumpistas:



NEW YORK (AP) — Hillary Clinton appears on the cusp of a potentially commanding victory over Donald Trump, fueled by solid Democratic turnout in early voting, massive operational advantages and increasing enthusiasm among her supporters.

 A new Associated Press-GfK poll released Wednesday finds the Democratic nominee has grabbed significant advantages over her Republican rival with just 12 days left before Election Day. Among them: consolidating the support of her party and even winning some Republicans.

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Overall, the poll shows Clinton leading Trump nationally by a staggering 14 percentage points among likely voters, 51-37. While that is one of her largest margins among recent national surveys, most show the former secretary of state with a substantial national lead over the billionaire businessman.


The AP-GfK poll finds that Clinton has secured the support of 90 percent of likely Democratic voters, and also has the backing of 15 percent of more moderate Republicans. Just 79 percent of all Republicans surveyed say they are voting for their party's nominee. 

 With voting already underway in 37 states, Trump's opportunities to overtake Clinton are quickly evaporating — and voters appear to know it. The AP-GfK poll found that 74 percent of likely voters believe Clinton will win, up from 63 percent in September.

9 comments:

Dave Miller said...

HRC may yet win, or Michael Moore could be correct in that the people of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan will deliver an unseen blow, ala Ali/Liston. I think it's a mistake for Dems to get too self congratulatory yet.

But, if she does win, then what? Yesterday the leader of the House Oversight Committee went all Mitch McConnell and said starting on Day 1, she will be facing at least two years of hearings. No mandate, no honeymoon, no let's see how she deals with the GOP, nothing.

What Chaffetz' statement did do was show that perhaps the GOP obstructionist policies that have been unabated since Pres Obama took office really weren't race related. They just can't govern responsibly if others occupy the big house.

Jerry Critter said...

I would say that the AP poll is an outlier just like the Fox poll is which has Clinton's lead at 2 to 3 %, but she IQ clearly in the lead.

Kevin Robbins said...

How massive a victory is required for a mandate? I remember Gee Dubya saying he had one with a squeaked out victory.

Shaw Kenawe said...

Donnie Little Hands said he wouldn't support Hillary should she win the presidency.

"It is in the line of Republican refusal to accept the legitimacy of any Democratic president. They impeached Bill Clinton. They called Obama a Muslim Kenyan. They are currently refusing to grant him the obvious constitutional privilege and responsibility to appoint a Supreme Court justice, after years of historically unprecedented refusal to consider his appointments to lower courts. This pattern makes Trump not an outlier within the Republican Party, as some pretend. He is right there with them. That makes him more dangerous." -- Michael K.

Fairly Witless said...

I have always voted on Election Day, never early or absentee. Not sure why.

I am very worried about the election being stolen from Trump. These criminals running the government will do anything to stay in power.

I’m very glad Donald Trump put them on notice that he will not concede if he loses. Why should he allow them to steal his victory? We’ve had enough of that already. I will never believe Obama won reelection – NEVER!

The only weapon we have is VERY HIGH TURN OUT to overcome all the multiple and dead voters.

Shaw Kenawe said...

Really, FW? I'm guessing you're a copy and paste troll from a right wing blog, or just an ordinary run-of-the-mill idiot.

Here's something guaranteed to make your teeny head explode:


"President Barack Obama's approval rating is the highest it has been in 45 months, and Republicans have taken note. In Ohio, Sen. Rob Portman is running an ad boasting of his work with the Democratic commander in chief "to break the grip of heroin addiction." In California, Rep. Darrell Issa—who once called Obama "one of the most corrupt presidents in modern times"—is sending out mailers with Obama's face on them, touting his work with the president "to protect victims of sexual assault.

Issa, who is facing his most competitive race in years, was the most recent Republican to feel his wrath. At a fundraiser in La Jolla on Sunday, Obama trashed the California Republican for his mailer. "Issa's primary contribution to the United States Congress has been to obstruct and to waste taxpayer dollars on trumped-up investigations that have led nowhere," he said. "This is now a guy who, because poll numbers are bad, has sent out brochures with my picture on them touting his cooperation on issues with me. Now that is the definition of chutzpah." -- Mother Jones

And thanks, FW or whoever you are, for giving us all a welcome belly laugh.

Note to a Shmuck said...

Stupid idiot

Ducky's here said...

@Dave Miller -- But, if she does win, then what? Yesterday the leader of the House Oversight Committee went all Mitch McConnell and said starting on Day 1, she will be facing at least two years of hearings.
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The upside here is that she's battle tested.

It's also likely that people are sick of the Benghazi, Benghazi, Benghazi crap and it's going to generate backlash. She's more than savvy enough to point out that Chaffetz is just a village idiot wasting everyone's time.
She's not going to make the mistake Obama made by assuming the Teabags would compromise or listen to reason.

Jerry Critter said...

FW is appropriately named.