Paul Revere by Cyrus Dallin, North End, Boston

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Wednesday, November 10, 2010

"Democrats didn't lose the battle of 2010. They won it." By William Saletan

UPDATE:  Please visit Citizen K's blog for further discussion on how the GOP will tackle the country's pressing problems now that it has gained the House.

This is another way at looking at the results of the past election.   The Democrats lost the House and seats in the Senate.  But Mr. Obama did what no president had been able to do for over 60 years--he passed health care reform, and that will be around long after the newly elected House Reps lose their seats to Dems in another election.

Read what Saletan observes and remember it:

"Democrats have lost the House, and health care is getting the blame. Sen. Evan Bayh of Indiana, a retiring Democrat, says his party "overreached by focusing on health care rather than job creation" and by spending $1 trillion on "a major entitlement expansion." Sen. John McCain's economic adviser agrees. Pundits say the health care bill killed President Obama's approval ratings, cost congressional Democrats their jobs, and snuffed out the legacy of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. "Virtually every House Democrat from a swing district who took a gamble by voting for the health law made a bad political bet," says the New York Times. The Los Angeles Times laments that "the measure of a leader in Washington isn't how much gets done, it's who holds power in the end. On that scale, Pelosi failed."



I'm not buying the autopsy or the obituary. In the national exit poll, voters were split on health care. Unemployment is at nearly 10 percent. Democrats lost a lot of seats that were never really theirs, and those who voted against the bill lost at a higher rate than did those who voted for it. But if health care did cost the party its majority, so what? The bill was more important than the election.



I realize that sounds crazy. We've become so obsessed with who wins or loses in politics that we've forgotten what the winning and losing are about. Partisans fixate on punishing their enemies in the next campaign. Reporters, in the name of objectivity, refuse to judge anything but the Election Day score card. Politicians rationalize their self-preservation by imagining themselves as dynasty builders. They think this is the big picture.



They're wrong. The big picture isn't about winning or keeping power. It's about using it. I've made this argument before, but David Frum, the former speechwriter to President Bush, has made it better. In March, when Democrats secured enough votes to pass the bill, he castigated fellow conservatives who looked forward to punishing Pelosi and President Obama "with a big win in the November 2010 elections." Frum observed:

"Legislative majorities come and go. This healthcare bill is forever. A win in November is very poor compensation for this debacle now. … No illusions please: This bill will not be repealed. Even if Republicans scored a 1994 style landslide in November, how many votes could we muster to re-open the "doughnut hole" and charge seniors more for prescription drugs? How many votes to re-allow insurers to rescind policies when they discover a pre-existing condition? How many votes to banish 25 year olds from their parents' insurance coverage?"


Exactly. A party that loses a House seat can win it back two years later, as Republicans just proved. But a party that loses a legislative fight against a middle-class health care entitlement never restores the old order. Pretty soon, Republicans will be claiming the program as their own. Indeed, one of their favorite arguments against this year's health care bill was that it would cut funding for Medicare. Now they're pledging to rescind those cuts. In 30 years, they'll be accusing Democrats of defunding Obamacare.



Most bills aren't more important than elections. This one was. Take it from Mitch McConnell, the Senate Republican leader. Yesterday, in his election victory speech at the Heritage Foundation, he declared, "Health care was the worst piece of legislation that's passed during my time in the Senate." McConnell has been in the Senate for 26 years. He understands the bill's significance: It's a huge structural change in the relationship between the public, the economy, and the government.


Politicians have tried and failed for decades to enact universal health care. This time, they succeeded. In 2008, Democrats won the presidency and both houses of Congress, and by the thinnest of margins, they rammed a bill through. They weren't going to get another opportunity for a very long time. It cost them their majority, and it was worth it.


And that's not counting financial regulation, economic stimulus, college lending reform, and all the other bills that became law under Pelosi. So spare me the tears and gloating about her so-called failure. If John Boehner is speaker of the House for the next 20 years, he'll be lucky to match her achievements.


Will Republicans revisit health care? Sure. Will they enact some changes to the program? Yes, and Democrats will help them. Every program needs revisions. Republicans will get other things, too: business tax breaks, education reform, more nuclear power, and a crackdown on earmarks. These are issues on which both parties can agree. Which is why, if you're a Democrat, you deal with them after you've lost your majority—not before.


It's funny, in a twisted way, to read all the post-election complaints that Democrats lost because they thought only of themselves. Even the chief operating officer of the party's leading think tank, the Center for American Progress, says Obama failed to convince Americans "that he knows their jobs are as important as his." That's too bad, because Obama, Pelosi, and their congressional allies proved just the opposite. They risked their jobs—and in many cases lost them—to pass the health care bill. The elections were a painful defeat, and you can argue that the bill was misguided. But Democrats didn't lose the most important battle of 2010. They won it."

15 comments:

Infidel753 said...

Excellent points. Holding power serves no purpose unless it's used. The LA Times quote

the measure of a leader in Washington isn't how much gets done, it's who holds power in the end

is asinine. That's the mentality of the Republicans who have said that their top priority is to stop Obama from being re-elected, rather than actually enacting an agenda.

and those who voted against the bill lost at a higher rate than did those who voted for it.

Blue dogs had a lower survival rate this election than progressives did. Many of the Democrats we lost weren't reliable votes anyway.

Charlene said...

Good essay.

I've said from the moment large numbers of people were grousing about the Health Care Bill that when the effects were known and realized, the other side would be taking credit for it.

The statement on power is true. If you have power you are responsible for using it for the good of the citizens. Unfortunately power in Washington is more about using it for personal gain, re-election or some cushy future private sector career.

Sue said...

you came back with a vengeance Shaw, great post! I especially needed this because I have been having real doubts about Obama this week. It comes and goes and I don't like it, but thanks for the positive lift, I needed it!

Leslie Parsley said...

This helps but I'm still feeling a bit discouraged - at the voters, at the president and at the Democrats. But I did just see that Obama's approval ratings have risen from 43% right before the election to 47% now. Not a huge jump but somewhat encouraging.

Sue said...

Leslie when I saw that jump I said to myself, well hell he's acting like a republican so no wonder the approval numbers went up! I'm getting discouraged too, this lame duck congress better get off their hands and do some positive things for the country or I'm gonna lose every bit of love I have for my democratic party.

JoeBama "Truth 101" Kelly said...

After grieving at the big losses of some of my local Dems, I can assess what happened without the misery.


Republicans ran full force to their base of bigots, idiots, religious zealots and homophobes.

Millions if idiots have no health insurance but the the thought of being call socialists made them cringe more than the thought of going bankrupt because of health care bills.

Tea baggers scream for lower taxes and less government regulation and idiots buy into their nonsense despite watching the Gulf ruined, God knows how bad it really is. Katrina practically destroying New Orleans. A financial meltdown that almost sank our Nation into depression.


I don't know if my friend Oso visits here Shaw, but he's pissed at President Obama and I think he has a valid point. He's done much but he's also aquiesced to the right too many times.

We're the ones with ideas and hope for progress. Not the right. It would have been nice to see the Left pandered to.
Many stayed home because they were disappointed that the right had so much power despite losing big in 2008.

The pundits were all saying a few days ago that President Obama didn't "get it." They were all to stupified by right wing bullshit to get what the President wasn't getting. He was elected to change Washington. Not bow down in some utopian vision of "bipartisanship" the republicans will never accept.

Move left Mr. President. Move left.

Shaw Kenawe said...

AYATOLLAH TRUTHMENI wrote: "...he's pissed at President Obama and I think he has a valid point. He's done much but he's also aquiesced to the right too many times.

We're the ones with ideas and hope for progress. Not the right. It would have been nice to see the Left pandered to."


I remember Obama reminding people who criticize him for trying to work with the GOP that he's the president of ALL the people. I imagine that means, to him, that he should not demonize 1/2 of the country as his political enemies--even though he used that term just before the election--and he apologized for it immediately, understanding that it was an attitude that was counter to what he stands for.

TRUTH: "Many stayed home because they were disappointed that the right had so much power despite losing big in 2008."

Well I'd counter that with the fact that Mr. Obama accomplished one of the most significant pieces of legislation in US history--the passage of health care reform, despite no help whatsoever from the Republicans. That is using power to gets something that benefits ALL Americans passed.

TRUTH: "The pundits were all saying a few days ago that President Obama didn't "get it." They were all to stupified by right wing bullshit to get what the President wasn't getting. He was elected to change Washington. Not bow down in some utopian vision of "bipartisanship" the republicans will never accept."

I wouldn't look to pundits for any wisdom. They're wrong too often than they are correct. Remember "President Hillary?"

TRUTH: "Move left Mr. President. Move left."

But, my dear friend, half the country believes he's the most radically left president the US has ever elected.

Wrong of course.

I believe we are too close to what is happening, too affected by the constant barrage of screaming pundits and news readers to get the long-term big picture.

Mr. Obama and Ms. Pelosi staked their political futures on getting health care reform passed. As Mr. Saletan said in the post I have up, the health care reform will get tweaked, as all new legislation does, but it will not be overturned.

Joe Biden, bless him, was correct when he turned to Mr. Obama after the bill was signed and said:

"This is a effing BIG DEAL!"

IMHO, too many people on the left--including members of my own family--want perfection from Obama.

Aint gonna happen.

Obama has always been a consensus builder and phlegmatic personality.

It's who he is. Maybe WE need to change OUR attitudes toward his style of governing rather than the other way around?

Shaw Kenawe said...
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Shaw Kenawe said...

Blogger comments is nuts this morning!

Sue said...

Shaw of course you are right and God knows I am trying, but my gut is aching!!! Maybe if the wingnuts weren't so friggin uppity and shitting on everything we try to do to help Americans while they sit back and laugh, maybe then I could calm down and give Obama some room to work his magic. But those damn righties just make me ill and I'm finding it harder and harder to be patient...

Leslie Parsley said...

I come here for your wisdom and I got it. I think we are too close to things and I also think we need to make our voices heard against the right - and not just on our blogs where we mostly preach to the choir. Excellent reasoning, Shaw. Thank you.

JoeBama "Truth 101" Kelly said...

Ah Shaw. While I appreciate the sentimate that Obama is president of all America, many refuse to accept this. Many call themselves republicans and many are in Congress.

When the olive branch is held out and the person on the other end puts a match to it, as the republicans have, the time for bipartisanship is over. Then it becomes time for hardball.

When republicans adapt to Presidee=nt Obama I will jump for joy. Till that joyous day I want republicans to adapt to him. And if that means unfunding projects in republican districts. Getting Axlerod to be more like Rove and start beating down obstructionist thugs like McConnell and sending generals that usurp his authority by questioning his orders and directives, I prefer a hard line dealing with the right.