Wednesday, November 2, 2016
Florida: 28% of Registered Republicans Have Voted For Hillary Clinton In Early Voting
As...reported [last night] on the Lawrence O’Donnell show, a College of William & Mary-TargetSmart poll, which will be released in full [Wednesday], shows Hillary Clinton has an 8 point lead in Florida.
Interestingly, according to this poll, 28% of registered Republicans have voted for Hillary. Trump in contrast, is winning only 6% of registered Democrats.
There is about an equal number of Democrats to Republicans who have voted but it is the crossover Republicans that are giving Hillary the wide lead.
Florida is a make or break state for Trump. It is impossible for him to win without Florida.
Tue Nov 1, 2016 | 6:40pm EDT
Moody's Analytics election model predicts Clinton win
Low gas prices and President Barack Obama's high approval ratings are key factors that favor Democrat Hillary Clinton winning the White House in next week's election, according to a model from Moody's Analytics that has accurately predicted the last nine U.S. presidential contests.
Clinton is forecast to pick up 332 Electoral College votes against 206 for Republican Donald Trump, Moody's Analytics predicted on Tuesday in the final update of its model before Election Day on Nov. 8. That would match Obama's margin of victory over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in 2012.
The Reuters-Ipsos States of the Nation project also predicts a Clinton win, with a 95 percent probability of her winning at least 278 electoral votes.
A candidate needs to win at least 270 electoral votes to be elected president. The Moody's Analytics model is based on a combination of state-level economic conditions and political history, and has correctly called the outcome of each presidential election since Republican Ronald Reagan unseated Democrat Jimmy Carter in 1980.
Rather than focus on the individual candidates in a race, the model instead centers on whether current economic and political conditions favor the incumbent party in the White House. This year those factors point to Clinton becoming the 45th U.S. president.
Libertarian Vice Presidential candidate, Bill Weld, praised Hillary Clinton on Rachel Maddow's show last night and said she is honest and would make a fine president:
"For Clinton, on the other hand, he had nothing but kind words. This was a clear break with his running mate, Gary Johnson, who has attacked both candidates.
"I've known her for 40 years. I've worked with her. I know her well, professionally," Weld said. "I know her well personally. I know her to be a person of high moral character, a reliable person and an honest person, however so much Mr. Trump may rant and rave to the contrary. So, I'm happy to say that, and people can make their own choices."